Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 14.539037 16.655747 18.988390 21.752242 24.941107 28.508967 32.809377
2025-11-09 11.469074 14.165146 17.376698 21.493822 26.646051 32.899220 41.092865
2025-11-16 9.640890 12.555510 16.223752 21.197643 27.794997 36.285665 48.106900
2025-11-23 8.290562 11.272654 15.197953 20.770748 28.525234 39.001124 54.341281
2025-11-30 7.701543 10.878373 15.229347 21.664210 31.009561 44.195695 64.402730
2025-12-07 7.057725 10.310071 14.923699 21.999325 32.674638 48.334829 73.334108
2025-12-14 6.421004 9.668445 14.423382 21.959393 33.729881 51.619552 81.265479
2025-12-21 5.842383 9.044663 13.871702 21.756899 34.472656 54.443501 88.707639
2025-12-28 5.574671 8.864115 13.963570 22.541326 36.809770 59.946504 101.012394
2026-01-04 5.285530 8.616633 13.917732 23.082684 38.778644 65.007371 113.078238
2026-01-11 5.072294 8.468442 14.010207 23.846749 41.171646 70.974398 127.316382
2026-01-18 4.634598 7.904455 13.361283 23.278754 41.192468 72.825342 134.329998
2026-01-25 4.279733 7.456647 12.878967 22.970478 41.667345 75.566555 143.376899
2026-02-01 3.968358 7.057660 12.446018 22.707044 42.191267 78.435141 152.968402
2026-02-08 3.681513 6.676935 12.010718 22.393035 42.577521 81.059350 162.329898
2026-02-15 3.403541 6.288542 11.527643 21.940872 42.645651 83.059153 170.615656
2026-02-22 3.338765 6.290994 11.764630 22.887263 45.536282 90.864498 191.777504
2026-03-01 3.201847 6.144033 11.705511 23.242259 47.264264 96.480438 208.886283
2026-03-08 3.028149 5.911232 11.461066 23.199958 48.163476 100.456592 222.824275
2026-03-15 2.849232 5.653803 11.147225 22.985450 48.674430 103.647794 235.331501
2026-03-22 2.795504 5.643865 11.326495 23.816448 51.506939 112.121754 260.980369
2026-03-29 2.717366 5.577307 11.384032 24.389994 53.823248 119.671118 285.306329
2026-04-05 2.665576 5.561356 11.544333 25.199553 56.742628 128.863890 314.693987